Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.285130 1.525721 1.778413 2.061869 2.369322 2.691212 3.052205
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.924009 1.251031 1.617960 2.052730 2.547033 3.085564 3.710921
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.699731 1.056255 1.477667 1.997269 2.607242 3.289046 4.097904
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.525119 0.891866 1.349364 1.935553 2.644156 3.454225 4.432875
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.406311 0.775799 1.260849 1.903848 2.700585 3.628243 4.765192
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.335365 0.712489 1.230093 1.935694 2.827229 3.879932 5.184133
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.270808 0.646913 1.187817 1.945947 2.921944 4.089605 5.550632
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.206003 0.568460 1.118980 1.914521 2.959200 4.226116 5.827373
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.188575 0.565565 1.155671 2.022215 3.171714 4.575258 6.358046
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.173907 0.564792 1.193953 2.131223 3.385654 4.926392 6.891846
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.163679 0.570350 1.240776 2.251562 3.614301 5.296110 7.448947
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.157837 0.583254 1.298368 2.386835 3.862720 5.690967 8.037511
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.131100 0.552365 1.290792 2.437212 4.009967 5.972947 8.505961
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.100029 0.504399 1.252503 2.442416 4.097745 6.182128 8.888579
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.065239 0.433603 1.168756 2.375825 4.085000 6.261001 9.108103
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039122 0.369967 1.089125 2.309551 4.068490 6.332096 9.315760
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022955 0.323446 1.033215 2.273833 4.089424 6.447346 9.574568
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015586 0.303541 1.024484 2.309278 4.207934 6.687900 9.989638
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008913 0.277868 1.001502 2.320525 4.291510 6.882580 10.347043
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.003170 0.241276 0.951607 2.285818 4.308271 6.988869 10.592440
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002775 0.249312 0.996110 2.404753 4.544264 7.383191 11.202409
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002437 0.257545 1.041159 2.524890 4.782459 7.781049 11.817715
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002346 0.268967 1.093397 2.657224 5.038654 8.203255 12.464717